Кубок Азии. Квалификация 2011

#	Команда	И	В	Н	П	ЗГ	ПГ	Разн.	О	О/И	В%	ØЗГ	ØПГ
1.	Япония	6	5	0	1	17	4	+13	15	2.50	83%	2.83	0.67
2.	Сирия	6	4	2	0	10	2	+8	14	2.33	67%	1.67	0.33
3.	Иран	6	4	1	1	11	2	+9	13	2.17	67%	1.83	0.33
4.	Китай	6	4	1	1	13	5	+8	13	2.17	67%	2.17	0.83
5.	Бахрейн	6	4	0	2	12	6	+6	12	2.00	67%	2.00	1.00
6.	Австралия	6	3	2	1	6	4	+2	11	1.83	50%	1.00	0.67
7.	U.A.E.	4	3	0	1	7	1	+6	9	2.25	75%	1.75	0.25
8.	Узбекистан	4	3	0	1	7	3	+4	9	2.25	75%	1.75	0.75
9.	Кувейт	6	2	3	1	6	5	+1	9	1.50	33%	1.00	0.83
10.	Оман	6	2	2	2	4	4	0	8	1.33	33%	0.67	0.67
11.	Иордания	6	2	2	2	4	4	0	8	1.33	33%	0.67	0.67
12.	Йемен	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7	1.17	33%	1.17	1.50
13.	Ливан	8	2	1	5	8	14	-6	7	0.88	25%	1.00	1.75
14.	Таиланд	6	1	3	2	3	3	0	6	1.00	17%	0.50	0.50
15.	Сингапур	6	2	0	4	6	15	-9	6	1.00	33%	1.00	2.50
16.	Вьетнам	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5	0.83	17%	1.00	1.83
17.	Индонезия	6	0	3	3	3	6	-3	3	0.50	0%	0.50	1.00
18.	Hong Kong	6	0	1	5	1	18	-17	1	0.17	0%	0.17	3.00
19.	Мальдивы	2	0	0	2	1	6	-5	0	0.00	0%	0.50	3.00
20.	Малайзия	4	0	0	4	2	12	-10	0	0.00	0%	0.50	3.00

#	Команда	И	В	Н	П	ЗГ	ПГ	Разн.	О	О/И	В%	ØЗГ	ØПГ
1.	Япония	3	3	0	0	10	1	+9	9	3.00	100%	3.33	0.33
2.	Бахрейн	3	3	0	0	9	0	+9	9	3.00	100%	3.00	0.00
3.	Иран	3	3	0	0	8	0	+8	9	3.00	100%	2.67	0.00
4.	Китай	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7	2.33	67%	2.33	0.33
5.	Сирия	3	2	1	0	7	2	+5	7	2.33	67%	2.33	0.67
6.	Иордания	3	2	1	0	3	1	+2	7	2.33	67%	1.00	0.33
7.	Йемен	3	2	0	1	6	3	+3	6	2.00	67%	2.00	1.00
8.	Австралия	3	2	0	1	2	1	+1	6	2.00	67%	0.67	0.33
9.	Ливан	4	1	1	2	5	5	0	4	1.00	25%	1.25	1.25
10.	Кувейт	3	1	1	1	4	4	0	4	1.33	33%	1.33	1.33
11.	Узбекистан	2	1	0	1	3	2	+1	3	1.50	50%	1.50	1.00
12.	Вьетнам	3	1	0	2	4	4	0	3	1.00	33%	1.33	1.33
13.	U.A.E.	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	1.50	50%	0.50	0.50
14.	Сингапур	3	1	0	2	4	7	-3	3	1.00	33%	1.33	2.33
15.	Индонезия	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2	0.67	0%	0.67	1.00
16.	Оман	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1	2	0.67	0%	0.33	0.67
17.	Таиланд	3	0	2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.67	0%	0.00	0.33
18.	Hong Kong	3	0	1	2	1	7	-6	1	0.33	0%	0.33	2.33
19.	Мальдивы	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	0.00	0%	1.00	2.00
20.	Малайзия	2	0	0	2	1	8	-7	0	0.00	0%	0.50	4.00

#	Команда	И	В	Н	П	ЗГ	ПГ	Разн.	О	О/И	В%	ØЗГ	ØПГ
1.	Сирия	3	2	1	0	3	0	+3	7	2.33	67%	1.00	0.00
2.	U.A.E.	2	2	0	0	6	0	+6	6	3.00	100%	3.00	0.00
3.	Япония	3	2	0	1	7	3	+4	6	2.00	67%	2.33	1.00
4.	Узбекистан	2	2	0	0	4	1	+3	6	3.00	100%	2.00	0.50
5.	Китай	3	2	0	1	6	4	+2	6	2.00	67%	2.00	1.33
6.	Оман	3	2	0	1	3	2	+1	6	2.00	67%	1.00	0.67
7.	Австралия	3	1	2	0	4	3	+1	5	1.67	33%	1.33	1.00
8.	Кувейт	3	1	2	0	2	1	+1	5	1.67	33%	0.67	0.33
9.	Таиланд	3	1	1	1	3	2	+1	4	1.33	33%	1.00	0.67
10.	Иран	3	1	1	1	3	2	+1	4	1.33	33%	1.00	0.67
11.	Бахрейн	3	1	0	2	3	6	-3	3	1.00	33%	1.00	2.00
12.	Ливан	4	1	0	3	3	9	-6	3	0.75	25%	0.75	2.25
13.	Сингапур	3	1	0	2	2	8	-6	3	1.00	33%	0.67	2.67
14.	Вьетнам	3	0	2	1	2	7	-5	2	0.67	0%	0.67	2.33
15.	Индонезия	3	0	1	2	1	3	-2	1	0.33	0%	0.33	1.00
16.	Иордания	3	0	1	2	1	3	-2	1	0.33	0%	0.33	1.00
17.	Йемен	3	0	1	2	1	6	-5	1	0.33	0%	0.33	2.00
18.	Малайзия	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	0.00	0%	0.50	2.00
19.	Мальдивы	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	0.00	0%	0.00	4.00
20.	Hong Kong	3	0	0	3	0	11	-11	0	0.00	0%	0.00	3.67

Для сортировки таблицы нажмите на заголовок столбца.
Наведите курсор мыши на проценты (%), чтобы увидеть значение шансы

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Среда 3. Март 2010

Кубок Азии. Квалификация		2011	Коэффициенты 1x2
Австралия	1 - 0	Индонезия	1.20	5.38	11.75
Hong Kong	0 - 0	Йемен	3.43	3.30	2.02
Иран	1 - 0	Таиланд	1.39	4.22	7.34
Япония	2 - 0	Бахрейн	1.37	4.08	8.03
Иордания	2 - 1	Сингапур	1.36	4.42	7.58
Оман	0 - 0	Кувейт	1.93	3.31	3.65
Сирия	4 - 0	Ливан	1.20	5.67	12.35
Узбекистан	0 - 1	U.A.E.	1.64	3.58	4.98

Среда 20. Январь 2010

Йемен	3 - 0	Бахрейн	4.98	3.65	1.68

Воскресенье 17. Январь 2010

Вьетнам	1 - 2	Китай	4.12	3.47	1.78

Среда 6. Январь 2010

Бахрейн	4 - 0	Hong Kong	1.08	11.40	17.22
Китай	0 - 0	Сирия	1.65	3.49	5.29
Индонезия	1 - 2	Оман	4.56	3.56	1.72
Кувейт	2 - 2	Австралия	3.79	3.21	1.96
Ливан	1 - 1	Вьетнам	2.42	3.25	2.75
Сингапур	1 - 3	Иран	9.26	4.38	1.34
Таиланд	0 - 0	Иордания	2.00	3.35	3.53
U.A.E.	1 - 0	Малайзия	1.10	9.64	17.03
Йемен	2 - 3	Япония	7.83	4.62	1.35

Воскресенье 22. Ноябрь 2009

Китай	1 - 0	Ливан	1.10	8.98	19.53
Иордания	1 - 0	Иран	3.78	3.32	1.93

Среда 18. Ноябрь 2009

Бахрейн	4 - 0	Йемен	1.17	6.23	13.89
Hong Kong	0 - 4	Япония	12.67	6.33	1.17
Индонезия	1 - 1	Кувейт	3.47	3.26	2.05
Малайзия	1 - 3	Узбекистан	8.10	4.39	1.34
Сирия	0 - 0	Вьетнам	1.22	5.49	11.21
Таиланд	0 - 1	Сингапур	1.45	4.01	6.82

Суббота 14. Ноябрь 2009

Иран	1 - 0	Иордания	1.25	5.13	11.00
Кувейт	2 - 1	Индонезия	1.34	4.14	8.65
Ливан	0 - 2	Китай	4.68	3.42	1.71
Оман	1 - 2	Австралия	4.13	3.25	1.82
Сингапур	1 - 3	Таиланд	2.29	3.24	2.89
Узбекистан	3 - 1	Малайзия	1.07	10.46	22.66
Вьетнам	0 - 1	Сирия	4.23	3.40	1.75

Среда 14. Октябрь 2009

Австралия	1 - 0	Оман	1.34	4.37	8.10

Четверг 8. Октябрь 2009

Япония	6 - 0	Hong Kong	1.13	7.75	21.80

Четверг 5. Март 2009

Австралия	0 - 1	Кувейт

Среда 28. Январь 2009

Бахрейн	1 - 0	Япония
Индонезия	0 - 0	Австралия
Кувейт	0 - 1	Оман
Ливан	0 - 2	Сирия
Сингапур	2 - 1	Иордания
Таиланд	0 - 0	Иран
U.A.E.	0 - 1	Узбекистан
Йемен	1 - 0	Hong Kong

Среда 21. Январь 2009

Китай	6 - 1	Вьетнам
Hong Kong	1 - 3	Бахрейн
Малайзия	0 - 5	U.A.E.

Вторник 20. Январь 2009

Япония	2 - 1	Йемен

Понедельник 19. Январь 2009

Оман	0 - 0	Индонезия

Еще результаты

Марта 2010
Января 2010
Ноября 2009
Октября 2009
Марта 2009
Января 2009
Апреля 2008

Hong Kong
U.A.E.
Австралия
Бахрейн
Вьетнам
Индонезия
Иордания
Иран
Йемен
Китай
Кувейт
Ливан
Малайзия
Мальдивы
Оман
Сингапур
Сирия
Таиланд
Узбекистан
Япония

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#	Команда	И	В	Н	П	ЗГ	ПГ	Разн.	О	О/И	В%	ØЗГ	ØПГ
1.	Япония	6	5	0	1	17	4	+13	15	2.50	83%	2.83	0.67
2.	Сирия	6	4	2	0	10	2	+8	14	2.33	67%	1.67	0.33
3.	Иран	6	4	1	1	11	2	+9	13	2.17	67%	1.83	0.33
4.	Китай	6	4	1	1	13	5	+8	13	2.17	67%	2.17	0.83
5.	Бахрейн	6	4	0	2	12	6	+6	12	2.00	67%	2.00	1.00
6.	Австралия	6	3	2	1	6	4	+2	11	1.83	50%	1.00	0.67
7.	U.A.E.	4	3	0	1	7	1	+6	9	2.25	75%	1.75	0.25
8.	Узбекистан	4	3	0	1	7	3	+4	9	2.25	75%	1.75	0.75
9.	Кувейт	6	2	3	1	6	5	+1	9	1.50	33%	1.00	0.83
10.	Оман	6	2	2	2	4	4	0	8	1.33	33%	0.67	0.67
11.	Иордания	6	2	2	2	4	4	0	8	1.33	33%	0.67	0.67
12.	Йемен	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7	1.17	33%	1.17	1.50
13.	Таиланд	6	1	3	2	3	3	0	6	1.00	17%	0.50	0.50
14.	Сингапур	6	2	0	4	6	15	-9	6	1.00	33%	1.00	2.50
15.	Вьетнам	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5	0.83	17%	1.00	1.83
16.	Индонезия	6	0	3	3	3	6	-3	3	0.50	0%	0.50	1.00
17.	Ливан	6	0	1	5	2	13	-11	1	0.17	0%	0.33	2.17
18.	Hong Kong	6	0	1	5	1	18	-17	1	0.17	0%	0.17	3.00
19.	Мальдивы	2	0	0	2	1	6	-5	0	0.00	0%	0.50	3.00
20.	Малайзия	4	0	0	4	2	12	-10	0	0.00	0%	0.50	3.00

#	Команда	И	В	Н	П	ЗГ	ПГ	Разн.	О	О/И	В%	ØЗГ	ØПГ
1.	Япония	3	3	0	0	10	1	+9	9	3.00	100%	3.33	0.33
2.	Бахрейн	3	3	0	0	9	0	+9	9	3.00	100%	3.00	0.00
3.	Иран	3	3	0	0	8	0	+8	9	3.00	100%	2.67	0.00
4.	Китай	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7	2.33	67%	2.33	0.33
5.	Сирия	3	2	1	0	7	2	+5	7	2.33	67%	2.33	0.67
6.	Иордания	3	2	1	0	3	1	+2	7	2.33	67%	1.00	0.33
7.	Йемен	3	2	0	1	6	3	+3	6	2.00	67%	2.00	1.00
8.	Австралия	3	2	0	1	2	1	+1	6	2.00	67%	0.67	0.33
9.	Ливан	4	1	1	2	5	5	0	4	1.00	25%	1.25	1.25
10.	Кувейт	3	1	1	1	4	4	0	4	1.33	33%	1.33	1.33
11.	Узбекистан	2	1	0	1	3	2	+1	3	1.50	50%	1.50	1.00
12.	Вьетнам	3	1	0	2	4	4	0	3	1.00	33%	1.33	1.33
13.	U.A.E.	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	1.50	50%	0.50	0.50
14.	Сингапур	3	1	0	2	4	7	-3	3	1.00	33%	1.33	2.33
15.	Индонезия	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2	0.67	0%	0.67	1.00
16.	Оман	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1	2	0.67	0%	0.33	0.67
17.	Таиланд	3	0	2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.67	0%	0.00	0.33
18.	Hong Kong	3	0	1	2	1	7	-6	1	0.33	0%	0.33	2.33
19.	Мальдивы	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	0.00	0%	1.00	2.00
20.	Малайзия	2	0	0	2	1	8	-7	0	0.00	0%	0.50	4.00

#	Команда	И	В	Н	П	ЗГ	ПГ	Разн.	О	О/И	В%	ØЗГ	ØПГ
1.	Сирия	3	2	1	0	3	0	+3	7	2.33	67%	1.00	0.00
2.	U.A.E.	2	2	0	0	6	0	+6	6	3.00	100%	3.00	0.00
3.	Япония	3	2	0	1	7	3	+4	6	2.00	67%	2.33	1.00
4.	Узбекистан	2	2	0	0	4	1	+3	6	3.00	100%	2.00	0.50
5.	Китай	3	2	0	1	6	4	+2	6	2.00	67%	2.00	1.33
6.	Оман	3	2	0	1	3	2	+1	6	2.00	67%	1.00	0.67
7.	Австралия	3	1	2	0	4	3	+1	5	1.67	33%	1.33	1.00
8.	Кувейт	3	1	2	0	2	1	+1	5	1.67	33%	0.67	0.33
9.	Таиланд	3	1	1	1	3	2	+1	4	1.33	33%	1.00	0.67
10.	Иран	3	1	1	1	3	2	+1	4	1.33	33%	1.00	0.67
11.	Бахрейн	3	1	0	2	3	6	-3	3	1.00	33%	1.00	2.00
12.	Ливан	4	1	0	3	3	9	-6	3	0.75	25%	0.75	2.25
13.	Сингапур	3	1	0	2	2	8	-6	3	1.00	33%	0.67	2.67
14.	Вьетнам	3	0	2	1	2	7	-5	2	0.67	0%	0.67	2.33
15.	Индонезия	3	0	1	2	1	3	-2	1	0.33	0%	0.33	1.00
16.	Иордания	3	0	1	2	1	3	-2	1	0.33	0%	0.33	1.00
17.	Йемен	3	0	1	2	1	6	-5	1	0.33	0%	0.33	2.00
18.	Малайзия	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	0.00	0%	0.50	2.00
19.	Мальдивы	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	0.00	0%	0.00	4.00
20.	Hong Kong	3	0	0	3	0	11	-11	0	0.00	0%	0.00	3.67

Сезон		матчей	1	x	2	¦	1	2	¦	Больше 2.5	Меньше 2.5	Больше 1.5	Меньше 1.5	Домашнее преимущество
2027	групповой этап	12	66.7%	25.0%	8.3%	¦	88.9%	11.1%	¦	41.7%	58.3%	58.3%	41.7%	77.8%
2027	Qualification	6	50.0%	33.3%	16.7%	¦	60.0%	40.0%	¦	33.3%	66.7%	66.7%	33.3%	20.0%
2023	групповой этап	36	47.2%	8.3%	44.4%	¦	51.5%	48.5%	¦	58.3%	41.7%	77.8%	22.2%	3.0%
2023	Qualification	3	33.3%	0.0%	66.7%	¦	33.3%	66.7%	¦	66.7%	33.3%	66.7%	33.3%	-33.3%
2019	Qualification	17	47.1%	17.6%	35.3%	¦	57.1%	42.9%	¦	58.8%	41.2%	82.4%	17.6%	14.3%
2019	групповой этап	71	49.3%	23.9%	26.8%	¦	64.8%	35.2%	¦	62.0%	38.0%	78.9%	21.1%	29.6%
2015	групповой этап	60	50.0%	20.0%	30.0%	¦	62.5%	37.5%	¦	51.7%	48.3%	73.3%	26.7%	25.0%
2011	Регулярный сезон	56	44.6%	21.4%	33.9%	¦	56.8%	43.2%	¦	48.2%	51.8%	57.1%	42.9%	13.6%
2000	Регулярный сезон	84	59.5%	7.1%	33.3%	¦	64.1%	35.9%	¦	66.7%	33.3%	81.0%	19.0%	28.2%
1996	Регулярный сезон	62	58.1%	11.3%	30.6%	¦	66.1%	33.9%	¦	71.0%	29.0%	83.9%	16.1%	32.1%
1992	Регулярный сезон	15	86.7%	0.0%	13.3%	¦	86.7%	13.3%	¦	60.0%	40.0%	80.0%	20.0%	73.3%
1988	Регулярный сезон	41	46.3%	36.6%	17.1%	¦	73.1%	26.9%	¦	36.6%	63.4%	58.5%	41.5%	46.2%
1984	Регулярный сезон	20	75.0%	15.0%	10.0%	¦	88.2%	11.8%	¦	55.0%	45.0%	75.0%	25.0%	76.5%
1979	Регулярный сезон	16	56.3%	12.5%	31.3%	¦	64.3%	35.7%	¦	68.8%	31.3%	75.0%	25.0%	28.6%
1978	Регулярный сезон	6	33.3%	0.0%	66.7%	¦	33.3%	66.7%	¦	83.3%	16.7%	83.3%	16.7%	-33.3%
1975	Регулярный сезон	34	67.6%	14.7%	17.6%	¦	79.3%	20.7%	¦	52.9%	47.1%	64.7%	35.3%	58.6%
1967	Регулярный сезон	26	65.4%	15.4%	19.2%	¦	77.3%	22.7%	¦	42.3%	57.7%	80.8%	19.2%	54.5%
1960	Регулярный сезон	3	33.3%	0.0%	66.7%	¦	33.3%	66.7%	¦	66.7%	33.3%	66.7%	33.3%	-33.3%
1959	Регулярный сезон	8	12.5%	25.0%	62.5%	¦	16.7%	83.3%	¦	75.0%	25.0%	100.0%	0.0%	-66.7%
1956	Регулярный сезон	4	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	¦	50.0%	50.0%	¦	50.0%	50.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%

AnnaBet Сила команд

Последнее обновление 2025-03-30 12:36:12

#	Команда	форма
1.	Иран	1450
2.	Япония	1431
3.	Австралия	1350
4.	Иордания	1296
5.	Узбекистан	1268
6.	Оман	1234
7.	U.A.E.	1172
8.	Бахрейн	1127
9.	Сирия	1057
10.	Таиланд	1041
11.	Вьетнам	1038
12.	Китай	1031
13.	Индонезия	989
14.	Ливан	985
15.	Кувейт	978
16.	Малайзия	957
17.	Hong Kong	851
18.	Сингапур	801
19.	Йемен	760
20.	Мальдивы	716

Our ratings are currently calculated from games played after 1.1.2000

In football our ratings are similar to World Football Elo Ratings but we have tuned up the formula. For example when goal difference is low or game is tied and we have shots on goal statistics available for the game, we’ll then analyze the shots ratio to have some effect on the ratings. For example if a game was tied 1-1 but home team outshoot away team by 10-2 you might say the home team was the better team despite the result.

In ice hockey the ratings are similar but we have taken account the higher number of goals scored and “home” team (first mentioned team) line change advantage. For example if ice hockey game Sweden – Finland was played at Finland but Sweden had the line change advantage it is then taken account when calculating ratings.

Some examples how ratings are adjusted after each game

In the beginning each team has starting rating of 1000 points. After each game played the sum of points change is 0: if home team gets +20 points then away team gets -20 pts deducted. Amount is always based on the weight/importance of the tournament: in friendlies teams get much less points than in World Cup finals.

Two equal teams meet: winner gets some decent points and loser looses the same amount. Example +20 / -20.
Heavy favorite (much higher rating) wins by few goals: gets only few points because it was very expected result. Your points rises very slowly by beating much poorer teams than you. Example +3 / -3.
Heavy favorite ties a game: favorite loses small amount of points because it was expected that the team should win, the opponent get some points. Example -3 / +3 points.
Heavy favorite loses a game: loses lots of rating points, winner gets lots of points. Example -40 / +40.

Sample Winning Expectancies

Difference in Ratings	Higher Rated	Lower Rated
0	0.500	0.500
10	0.514	0.486
20	0.529	0.471
30	0.543	0.457
40	0.557	0.443
50	0.571	0.429
60	0.585	0.415
70	0.599	0.401
80	0.613	0.387
90	0.627	0.373
100	0.640	0.360
110	0.653	0.347
120	0.666	0.334
130	0.679	0.321
140	0.691	0.309
150	0.703	0.297
160	0.715	0.285
170	0.727	0.273
180	0.738	0.262
190	0.749	0.251
200	0.760	0.240

Table by Eloratings.net

Why are Power Ratings better than winning percentage or league table?

Let’s say we have 2 teams whose performance we are analyzing: Finland and Sweden. Both teams have played 8 games and Finland has 6 wins and 2 losses, Sweden 5 wins and 3 losses. You might say Finland is the better team based on that info? What if Finland has won 4 games against poor teams, 2 against mediocre and lost 2 against better teams. Sweden on the other hand had win 3 games against better teams, 2 against mediocre and then 3 narrow losses against mediocre teams. Putting it that way, you might not believe Finland should be a favorite here after all. Would our Power Ratings tell you the exactly same thing:

Finland starting rating 1000:

1. game 4-0 win against poor team +10 pts (1010)
2. game 3-1 win against poor team +6 pts (1016)
3. game 0-2 loss against better team -10 pts (1006)
4. game 4-3 win against mediocre team +15 pts (1021)
5. game 5-3 win against mediocre team +18 pts (1039)
6. game 3-5 loss against better team -10 pts (1029)
7. game 2-0 win against poor team +6 pts (1035)
8. game 5-2 win against poor team +8 pts (1043)
Current rating 1043

Sweden starting rating 1000:

1. game 3-2 win against better team +25 pts (1025)
2. game 2-3 loss against mediocre team -12 pts (1013)
3. game 4-2 win against better team +30 pts (1043)
4. game 3-0 win against mediocre team +20 pts (1063)
5. game 3-5 loss against mediocre team -15 pts (1048)
6. game 3-4 loss against mediocre team -12 pts (1036)
7. game 4-1 win against better team +35 pts (1071)
8. game 3-1 win against mediocre team +16 pts (1087)
Current rating 1087

These are just rough examples for you to get the idea.

Finland vs Sweden Power Ratings: 1043 – 1087, ratings difference 44 and by looking at the table above you can see that this game should be about Finland 46% winning chance and Sweden 54%. Note that home advantage is usually about 100 points so 46%-54% would be only at neutral venue.

It is not always about how many games you have won but rather which teams and by how many goals that tells more about your true Power. But still remember these are only computer calculated estimations and does not take account real world situations like injuries, weather etc. Also note Power Ratings being much less accurate when teams have a big difference between number of games played and/or quality/diversity of tournaments where they have played.

For example in ice hockey USA and Canada plays only few friendly matches before major tournaments and European teams plays a lots of smaller tournaments - and also playing many games against couple of selected opponents only. Smaller tournaments and friendly matches makes of course smaller changes to Power Ratings than major tournaments but when you play a lot of smaller games it can add up.