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PoissoNed!

Total Goals

Your estimation of total goals scored (eg. 2.5). 
% Your estimation of home team's winning probability (1-99%). 
% Your estimation of tie probability (1-99%). 
% Your estimation of away team's winning probability (1-99%). 
% Default is 100% that shows you the fair odds (no booker margin). 
 Reset

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected number of goals scored by home team (eg. 1.5) 
Expected number of goals scored by away team (eg. 1.0) 
Select this only if you want to adjust the probability field to your own 1x2 percentages. 
% Your estimation of home team's winning probability (1-99%). Works only when 'Adjust 1x2% Distribution' is selected. 
% Your estimation of tie probability (1-99%). Works only when 'Adjust 1x2% Distribution' is selected. 
% Your estimation of away team's winning probability (1-99%). Works only when 'Adjust 1x2% Distribution' is selected. 
Optionally you can enter a multiplier to adjust the draw percentage. For example 1.2 will add 20% to the tie probability. Works only when 'Adjust 1x2% Distribution' IS NOT selected. 
% Default is 100% that shows you the fair odds (no booker margin). 
 Reset

Power Ratings

For example if home team's power rating value is 2 times bigger than away team's then the home win probability will be 2 times more than away win. 
For example if home team's power rating value is 2 times bigger than away team's then the home win probability will be 2 times more than away win. 
Your estimation of total goals scored (eg. 2.5). 
Optionally you can enter a multiplier to adjust the draw percentage. For example 1.2 will add 20% to the tie probability. Works only when 'Adjust 1x2% Distribution' IS NOT selected. 
% Default is 100% that shows you the fair odds (no booker margin). 
 Reset

Elo ratings (Pro)

Guide: World Football Elo Ratings

 
 
Your estimation of total goals scored (eg. 2.5). 
Optionally you can enter a multiplier to adjust the draw percentage. For example 1.2 will add 20% to the tie probability. Works only when 'Adjust 1x2% Distribution' IS NOT selected. 
% Default is 100% that shows you the fair odds (no booker margin). 
Buy from Web Store: PoissoNed! Pro

Settings

This amount will be used in optimum stake calculations. 
Optionally divides the optimum stake provided by Kelly formula. 

Poisson Distribution Guide   Correct score betting: What you need to know
Soccer goal probabilities: Poisson vs actual distribution
PoissoNed! Ultimate
Correct Score | Handicaps | Asian Handicap | 1x2 Handicaps | Total Goals | Team Totals

1x2 %47.4% - 25.8% - 26.8% (2.11 - 3.87 - 3.73)
Moneyline 63.9% - 36.1% (1.57 - 2.77)
Double Chance 1x  73.2%(1.37)
Double Chance x2  52.6%(1.90)
Double Chance 12  74.2%(1.35)
Goal Average (Home - Away)1.504 - 1.064

Home Goal Probabilities

PoissoNed! Pro

Away Goal Probabilities

PoissoNed! Pro

Correct Score - Top of Page

PoissoNed! Pro

Teams to Score - Top of Page

Home to scorePoissoNed! Pro
Away to scorePoissoNed! Pro
Neither Team To ScorePoissoNed! Pro
One Team To Score OnlyPoissoNed! Pro
Both Teams To ScorePoissoNed! Pro
Scoring DrawPoissoNed! Pro

Special - Top of Page

Home Win To NilPoissoNed! Pro
Away Win To NilPoissoNed! Pro
Home Win by One Goal  PoissoNed! Pro
Away Win by One Goal  PoissoNed! Pro
Total Goals - Even  PoissoNed! Pro
Total Goals - Odd  PoissoNed! Pro

Handicaps - Top of Page

Home -0.5 : Away +0.5 47.4% - 52.6% (2.11 - 1.90)
Home -1.5 : Away +1.5 23.8% - 76.2% (4.20 - 1.31)
Home -2.5 : Away +2.5 9.5% - 90.5% (10.57 - 1.10)
Home +0.5 : Away -0.5 73.2% - 26.8% (1.37 - 3.73)
Home +1.5 : Away -1.5 89.9% - 10.1% (1.11 - 9.87)

Asian Handicap - Top of Page

Home -2.5 & -3.0 : Away +2.5 & +3.0 6.5% - 93.5% (15.46 - 1.07)
Home -2.5 : Away +2.5 PoissoNed! Pro
Home -2.0 & -2.5 : Away +2.0 & +2.5 10.2% - 89.8% (9.81 - 1.11)
Home -2.0 : Away +2.0 PoissoNed! Pro
Home -1.5 & -2.0 : Away +1.5 & +2.0 17.9% - 82.1% (5.58 - 1.22)
Home -1.5 : Away +1.5 23.8% - 76.2% (4.20 - 1.31)
Home -1.0 & -1.5 : Away +1.0 & +1.5 27.0% - 73.0% (3.71 - 1.37)
Home -1.0 : Away +1.0 31.1% - 68.9% (3.21 - 1.45)
Home -0.5 & -1.0 : Away +0.5 & +1.0 40.3% - 59.7% (2.48 - 1.68)
Home -0.5 : Away +0.5 47.4% - 52.6% (2.11 - 1.90)
Home 0 & -0.5 : Away 0 & +0.5 54.4% - 45.6% (1.84 - 2.19)
Home 0 : Away 0 63.9% - 36.1% (1.56 - 2.77)
Home 0 & +0.5 : Away 0 & -0.5 69.2% - 30.8% (1.44 - 3.25)
Home +0.5 : Away -0.5 73.2% - 26.8% (1.37 - 3.73)
Home +0.5 & +1.0 : Away -0.5 & -1.0 79.8% - 20.2% (1.25 - 4.96)
Home +1.0 : Away -1.0 87.8% - 12.2% (1.14 - 8.22)
Home +1.0 & +1.5 : Away -1.0 & -1.5 88.9% - 11.1% (1.12 - 9.05)
Home +1.5 : Away -1.5 89.9% - 10.1% (1.11 - 9.87)
Home +1.5 & +2.0 : Away -1.5 & -2.0 93.2% - 6.8% (1.07 - 14.73)

1x2 Handicaps - Top of Page

PoissoNed! Pro

Total Goals - Top of Page
OverUnder
0.5 goals 92.3% (1.08) 7.7% (13.04)
1.5 goals 72.6% (1.38) 27.4% (3.65)
2.5 goals 47.4% (2.11) 52.6% (1.90)
3.5 goals 25.7% (3.89) 74.3% (1.35)
4.5 goals 11.8% (8.47) 88.2% (1.13)

Total Goals Moneyline
OverUnder
1 goals 90.5% (1.11) 9.5% (10.47)
2 goals 63.4% (1.58) 36.6% (2.73)
3 goals 32.8% (3.05) 67.2% (1.49)
4 goals 13.7% (7.29) 86.3% (1.16)

Team Totals - Top of Page
PoissoNed! Pro
Team Totals Moneyline - Top of Page
PoissoNed! Pro


What you get with PoissoNed! Pro:

Calculates from your input values:
- Goal probabilities
- Correct score probabilities and odds
- More Asian Handicaps probabilities
- Elo ratings probability calculations
- Teams to Score -probabilities (home team to score, away team to score, neither team to score, one team to score only, both teams to score, scoring draw)
- Special probabilities: home team win to nil, away team win to nil, home team win by one goal, away team win by one goal, number of goals even/odd
- Handicaps with draw option
- Game Totals specials (for example: 0-1 goals scored, 1-2 goals scored, exactly 1 goal scored etc.)
- Team Totals
- Team Totals Moneyline
- Finnish: Vienti Monivetoavun ja Tulosvetoavun omiin rajakertoimiin
- No banner advertising in PoissoNed! -pages

Pro Demo

PoissoNed! Pro 1 month$10.99
incl. VAT 25.5%		 Buy from Web Store
Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution. Usable mainly in soccer.
PoissoNed! Ultimate 2 days$13.81
incl. VAT 25.5%		 Buy from Web Store
Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution and statistics database. Usable mainly in soccer.
PoissoNed! Pro 12 months$108.90
incl. VAT 25.5%		 Buy from Web Store
Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution. Usable mainly in soccer.
PoissoNed! Ultimate 1 month$108.90
incl. VAT 25.5%		 Buy from Web Store
Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution and statistics database. Usable mainly in soccer.
PoissoNed! Ultimate 1 year$658.90
incl. VAT 25.5%		 Buy from Web Store
Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution and statistics database. Usable mainly in soccer.
PoissoNed! 1x2 → Asian Handicap 1 month$10.99
incl. VAT 25.5%		 Buy from Web Store
Calculates Asian Handicap probabilities from 1x2 and over / under 2.5 goals odds. Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution. Usable in soccer.
PoissoNed! 1x2 → Asian Handicap 12 months$108.90
incl. VAT 25.5%		 Buy from Web Store
Calculates Asian Handicap probabilities from 1x2 and over / under 2.5 goals odds. Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution. Usable in soccer.
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