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PoissoNed!
Pravdepodobnosť počtu gólov
Poisson Distribution Guide
Correct score betting: What you need to know
Soccer goal probabilities: Poisson vs actual distribution
PoissoNed! Ultimate
1x2 % | 42.5% - 27.8% - 29.8% | (2.35 - 3.60 - 3.36) |
Moneyline | 58.8% - 41.2% | (1.70 - 2.43) | Dvojtip 1x | 70.2% | (1.42) | Dvojtip x2 | 57.5% | (1.74) | Dvojtip 12 | 72.2% | (1.38) | Priemer gólov (Doma - Vonku) | 1.300 - 1.040 | |
Roma prvadepodobnosť počtu strelených gólov
0 27.3% (3.67) |
1 35.4% (2.82) |
2 23.0% (4.34) |
3 10.0% (10.02) |
4 3.2% (30.83) |
5 0.8% (118.59) |
Lazio prvadepodobnosť počtu strelených gólov
0 35.3% (2.83) |
1 36.8% (2.72) |
2 19.1% (5.23) |
3 6.6% (15.09) |
4 1.7% (58.04) |
5 0.4% (279.05) |
Iný počet gólov <1%
Presný výsledok - Začiatok stránky
Roma | % | Kurzy | Remíza |
% | Kurzy | Lazio | % |
Kurzy |
1-0 | 12.5% | 7.99 | 0-0 | 9.6% | 10.38 | 0-1 | 10.0% | 9.98 | 2-0 | 8.1% | 12.29 | 1-1 | 13.0% | 7.68 | 0-2 | 5.2% | 19.20 | 2-1 | 8.5% | 11.81 | 2-2 | 4.4% | 22.72 | 0-3 | 1.8% | 55.37 | 3-0 | 3.5% | 28.35 | 3-3 | 0.7% | 151.22 | 0-4 | 0.5% | 212.97 | 3-1 | 3.7% | 27.26 | 4-4 | 0.1% | 1789.64 | 0-5 | 0.1% | 1023.91 | 3-2 | 1.9% | 52.42 | - | | | 1-2 | 6.8% | 14.77 | 4-0 | 1.1% | 87.23 | - | | | 1-3 | 2.3% | 42.59 | 4-1 | 1.2% | 83.88 | - | | | 1-4 | 0.6% | 163.83 | 4-2 | 0.6% | 161.31 | - | | | 1-5 | 0.1% | 787.63 | 4-3 | 0.2% | 465.31 | - | | | 2-3 | 1.5% | 65.53 | 5-0 | 0.3% | 335.52 | - | | | 2-4 | 0.4% | 252.04 | 5-1 | 0.3% | 322.61 | - | | | 2-5 | 0.1% | 1211.73 | 5-2 | 0.2% | 620.41 | - | | | 3-4 | 0.2% | 581.63 | 5-3 | 0.1% | 1789.64 | - | | | - | | | 6-0 | 0.1% | 1548.54 | - | | | - | | | 6-1 | 0.1% | 1488.98 | - | | | - | | |
Iné výsledky <0.05% Pravdepodobnosť (0,1,2,3) - (0,1,2,3) výsledkov: 93.6%
(1.07)
Iný výsledok ako: 6.4%
(15.70)
Kto strelí gól - Začiatok stránky
Roma skóruje | 72.7% |
(1.37) | Lazio skóruje | 64.7% |
(1.55) | Ani jeden tím neskóruje | 9.6% |
(10.38) | Skóruje iba jeden tím | 43.3% |
(2.31) | Oba tímy skórujú | 47.0% |
(2.13) | Remíza | 18.1% |
(5.51) |
Špeciálny - Začiatok stránky
Roma Výhry na nulu | 25.7% |
(3.89) | Lazio Výhry na nulu | 17.6% |
(5.68) | Roma Výhra o jeden gól | 23.1% |
(4.32) | Lazio Výhra o jeden gól | 18.5% |
(5.41) | Celkový počet gólov - Párny | 50.5% |
(1.98) | Celkový počet gólov - Nepárny | 49.5% |
(2.02) |
Handicapy - Začiatok stránky
Roma -0.5 : Lazio +0.5 |
42.5% - 57.5% (2.35 - 1.74) |
Roma -1.5 : Lazio +1.5 |
19.3% - 80.7% (5.17 - 1.24) |
Roma -2.5 : Lazio +2.5 |
6.9% - 93.1% (14.59 - 1.07) |
Roma +0.5 : Lazio -0.5 |
70.2% - 29.8% (1.42 - 3.36) |
Roma +1.5 : Lazio -1.5 |
88.7% - 11.3% (1.13 - 8.89) |
Ázijský handicap - Začiatok stránky
Roma -2.5 | : |
Lazio +2.5 |
6.9% - 93.1% (14.59 - 1.07) |
|
Roma -2.0 & -2.5 | : |
Lazio +2.0 & +2.5 |
7.3% - 92.7% (13.68 - 1.08) |
|
Roma -2.0 | : |
Lazio +2.0 |
7.8% - 92.2% (12.77 - 1.08) |
|
Roma -1.5 & -2.0 | : |
Lazio +1.5 & +2.0 |
14.0% - 86.0% (7.16 - 1.16) |
|
Roma -1.5 | : |
Lazio +1.5 |
19.3% - 80.7% (5.17 - 1.24) |
|
Roma -1.0 & -1.5 | : |
Lazio +1.0 & +1.5 |
21.9% - 78.1% (4.57 - 1.28) |
|
Roma -1.0 | : |
Lazio +1.0 |
25.2% - 74.8% (3.97 - 1.34) |
|
Roma -0.5 & -1.0 | : |
Lazio +0.5 & +1.0 |
34.9% - 65.1% (2.86 - 1.54) |
|
Roma -0.5 | : |
Lazio +0.5 |
42.5% - 57.5% (2.35 - 1.74) |
|
Roma 0 & -0.5 | : |
Lazio 0 & +0.5 |
49.3% - 50.7% (2.03 - 1.97) |
|
Roma 0 | : |
Lazio 0 |
58.8% - 41.2% (1.70 - 2.43) |
|
Roma 0 & +0.5 | : |
Lazio 0 & -0.5 |
65.4% - 34.6% (1.53 - 2.89) |
|
Roma +0.5 | : |
Lazio -0.5 |
70.2% - 29.8% (1.42 - 3.36) |
|
Roma +0.5 & +1.0 | : |
Lazio -0.5 & -1.0 |
77.4% - 22.6% (1.29 - 4.43) |
|
Roma +1.0 | : |
Lazio -1.0 |
86.2% - 13.8% (1.16 - 7.24) |
|
Roma +1.0 & +1.5 | : |
Lazio -1.0 & -1.5 |
87.6% - 12.4% (1.14 - 8.06) |
|
Roma +1.5 | : |
Lazio -1.5 |
88.7% - 11.3% (1.13 - 8.89) |
|
Roma +1.5 & +2.0 | : |
Lazio -1.5 & -2.0 |
92.4% - 7.6% (1.08 - 13.23) |
|
1x2 Handicapy - Začiatok stránky
Roma -1 : Lazio +1 | 19.3% - 23.1% % - 57.5% (5.17 - 4.32 - 1.74) | Roma -2 : Lazio +2 | 6.9% - 12.5% % - 80.7% (14.59 - 8.01 - 1.24) | Roma +1 : Lazio -1 | 70.2% - 18.5% - 11.3% (1.42 - 5.41 - 8.89) | Roma +2 : Lazio -2 | 88.7% - 8.0% % - 3.3% (1.13 - 12.51 - 30.65) |
Celkový počet gólov - Začiatok stránky
| Viac ako | Menej ako |
0.5 góly |
90.4% (1.11) |
9.6% (10.38) |
| 1.5 góly |
67.8% (1.47) |
32.2% (3.11) |
| 2.5 góly |
41.5% (2.41) |
58.5% (1.71) |
| 3.5 góly |
20.9% (4.79) |
79.1% (1.26) |
| 4.5 góly |
8.8% (11.30) |
91.2% (1.10) |
|
Celkový počet gólov Moneyline
| Viac ako | Menej ako |
1 góly |
87.6% (1.14) |
12.4% (8.04) |
2 góly |
56.3% (1.78) |
43.7% (2.29) |
3 góly |
26.3% (3.80) |
73.7% (1.36) |
4 góly |
10.1% (9.94) |
89.9% (1.11) |
Celkový počet gólov - Začiatok stránky
0 góly |
9.6% (10.38) | 0-1 góly |
32.2% (3.11) | 1 góly |
22.5% (4.44) | 1-2 góly |
48.9% (2.04) | 2 góly |
26.4% (3.79) | 2-3 góly |
46.9% (2.13) | 3 góly |
20.6% (4.86) | 3-4 góly |
32.6% (3.07) | 4 góly |
12.0% (8.31) | 4-5 góly |
17.7% (5.66) | 5 góly |
5.6% (17.76) | 5-6 góly |
7.8% (12.77) |
Celkový počet gólov - Začiatok stránky
Roma |
Viac ako | Menej ako |
0.5 góly |
72.7% (1.37) |
27.3% (3.67) |
1.5 góly |
37.3% (2.68) |
62.7% (1.60) |
2.5 góly |
14.3% (7.00) |
85.7% (1.17) |
|
Lazio |
Viac ako | Menej ako |
0.5 góly |
64.7% (1.55) |
35.3% (2.83) |
1.5 góly |
27.9% (3.58) |
72.1% (1.39) |
2.5 góly |
8.8% (11.39) |
91.2% (1.10) |
|
Celkový počet gólov Moneyline - Začiatok stránky
Roma |
Viac ako | Menej ako |
1 góly |
57.8% (1.73) |
42.2% (2.37) |
2 góly |
18.6% (5.39) |
81.4% (1.23) |
|
Lazio |
Viac ako | Menej ako |
1 góly |
44.1% (2.27) |
55.9% (1.79) |
2 góly |
10.9% (9.21) |
89.1% (1.12) |
|
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What you get with PoissoNed! Pro:
Calculates from your input values:
- Goal probabilities
- Correct score probabilities and odds
- More Asian Handicaps probabilities
- Elo ratings probability calculations
- Teams to Score -probabilities (home team to score, away team to score, neither team to score,
one team to score only, both teams to score, scoring draw)
- Special probabilities: home team win to nil, away team win to nil, home team win by one goal,
away team win by one goal, number of goals even/odd
- Handicaps with draw option
- Game Totals specials (for example: 0-1 goals scored, 1-2 goals scored, exactly 1 goal scored etc.)
- Team Totals
- Team Totals Moneyline
- Finnish: Vienti Monivetoavun ja Tulosvetoavun omiin rajakertoimiin
- No banner advertising in PoissoNed! -pages
Pro Demo
 | PoissoNed! Pro 1 mesiac | $10.99
vr. dane 25.5% |
Kúpiť | Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution. Usable mainly in soccer. |  | PoissoNed! Ultimate 2 dni | $13.81
vr. dane 25.5% |
Kúpiť | Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution and statistics database. Usable mainly in soccer. |  | PoissoNed! Ultimate 1 mesiac | $108.90
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Kúpiť | Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution and statistics database. Usable mainly in soccer. |  | PoissoNed! Pro 12 mesiacov | $108.90
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Kúpiť | Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution. Usable mainly in soccer. |  | PoissoNed! Ultimate 1 rok | $658.90
vr. dane 25.5% |
Kúpiť | Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution and statistics database. Usable mainly in soccer. |  | PoissoNed! 1x2 → Asian Handicap 1 mesiac | $10.99
vr. dane 25.5% |
Kúpiť | Calculates Asian Handicap probabilities from 1x2 and over / under 2.5 goals odds. Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution. Usable in soccer. |  | PoissoNed! 1x2 → Asian Handicap 12 mesiacov | $108.90
vr. dane 25.5% |
Kúpiť | Calculates Asian Handicap probabilities from 1x2 and over / under 2.5 goals odds. Mathematical tool for calculating various sports betting probabilities based on Poisson distribution. Usable in soccer. |
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